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这个模型告诉你哪些才是预测黄金价格的关键因素

2019-04-16     牛牛财经   来源:黄金头条
文章摘要:黄金是一种独特的资产类别。事实上,许多投资者甚至质疑它是否是一种资产类别。黄金是商品,还是货币?黄金的另一个有趣之处在于,即使几千年来黄金一直被视为一种投资形式,但人们对如何评估黄金的实际价值却没有达成多少共识。本文将介绍WisdomTree是如何….

huangjinshiyizhongdutedezichanleibie。事shishishang,许xuduotouzizheshenzhizhiyitashifoushiyizhongzichanleibie。黄huangjinshishangpin,还huanshihuobi?黄huangjindelingyigeyouquzhichuzaiyu,即ji使shijiqiannianlaihuangjinyizhibeishiweiyizhongtouzixingshi,但danrenmenduiruhepingguhuangjindeshijijiazhiquemeiyoudachengduoshaogongshi。本benwenjiangjieshaoWisdomTree是shiruhegeihuangjindingjiade

youyuyingxiangjinjiadeyinsuyouhenduo,因yinciWisdomTree对duihuangjinjinxingliaoduoyuanjianmo。该gaijigouyijingnenggoujianliyigebaohansigeguanjianjieshibianliangdedejibenmoxing。基jiyuzhexiejichubianliangdefangxiang,金jinjiadeyucekeyishizhengmiande、负fumiande,也yekeyishizhongxingde。要yaozhuyideshi,该gaimoxingjianghuangjinmiaoshuweihuobizichan,而erfeidazongshangpin

WisdomTree的dehuangjinmoxingzhanxianliaoyixiajigeyinsuduiyi美元jisuande黄金价gedeyingxiang(括kuohaoneiweiyingxiangfangxiang):

* 美meiyuanlanzidebianhua(-)

* CPItongzhanglv(+)

* 10年nianqimeiguoguozhaimingyishouyilvdebianhua(-)

* 投touziqingxu(以yi期货市场toujicangweihengliang)(+)

xiatuxianshideshi使shiyong1996年nian4月yuezhi2017年nian4月yueshujuxiaozhungaimoxingshidejiageyuce

rutusuoshi,该gaimoxinghenhaodizhuizongliaohuangjindeshijijiage

buguo,WisdomTree还huanzaimoxingzhongtianjialiaoxindebianliang,以yiquedingtamenshifouzengqiangliaomoxingdejieshilidu

fujiabianliang

jiyushangshumoxing,在zai1995年nian4月yuezhi2018年nian4月yuejiaruyixieewaidebianliang,之zhihoufaxian

* 股gushi:金jinjiadetongbibianhuayubiaopu500指zhishudetongbibianhuachengfuxiangguan,而erqiezaigaimoxingzhongjiarugushizhibiaoxiaoruoliaomingyishouyilvdezhongyaoxing。因yinci,该gaijigouxuanzezaizuizhongmoxingzhongtichugushiyinsu

* 波bodonglv:标biaopu500指zhishuqiquanyinhanbodonglv(VIX)的debianhuawuzhuyujieshihuangjinjiage。许xuduorenrenweihuangjinshiyizhongduichongyiwaifengxiandegongju,但danWisdomTree发faxianbodonglvzhishuduiqimoxingmeiyouxianzhuyingxiang。这zhekenengyuqimoxingdeyuedupinlvyouguan,因yinweiyiwaishijiantongchangguoyuduanzan,而erwufazaiyuedumoxingzhongbozhuodao

* ETP资zichan:金jinjiasihuyuhuangjinjiaoyisuojiaoyichanpin(ETP)(以yiangsiji)的debianhuachengfuxiangguan,该gaijieguoyinfaduiyiliuxingshuofadezhiyi,即jihuangjinETF需xuqiushangshengtuidongjinjiashangzhang

* 美联储zichanfuzhaibiao:美meilianchuzichanfuzhaibiaoguimodebianhuahemeiguoM2货huobigongyingliangzengsudebianhuayebushijieshihuangjinjiagedeyigezhongyaoyinsu。这zheshiyigechurenyiliaodejieguo,因yinweijinjiabodongshihuobikuozhangshirenmenguanzhudejiaodian。然raner,该gaijieguohendachengdushangkenengzhishiyinweimeiyuanduiyilanzihuobidebiandong。美meilianchu、欧ouzhouyangxing、日ribenyangxingheruishiyangxingzichanfuzhaidezongtibianhuayebuxianzhu

shiwuxuqiushifouzhongyao

WisdomTree还huanyanjiuliaohuangjinfeiETP需xuqiu(珠zhubao、科keji、金jintiaoheyangxinggoumai)能nengfoujieshijinjiadezoushi。该gaijigoujiangshijiehuangjinxiehui(WGC)的dejiduhuangjinxuqiushujunarukaoliang,并binggaiyongjidumoxing;由youyushujuyouxian,模moxingdeshijiankuadusuoduandao2005年nian

yanjiujieguobiaoming,实shiwuhuangjinxuqiuyebushijieshihuangjinjiagedeyigexiangguanyinsu

guoququdongjinjiazuizhongyaoyinsushishime

zhegewentishichangbeirenmentiji,但danyihandeshi,这zhegewentibingburongyihuida。正zhengruxiatusuoxianshidenayang,有youshiyigebianliangkenengduijinjiachanshenghendadeyingxiang,而eryoushiqiyingxiangkenenghenxiao

ruheliyonghuangjinmoxing

zhiyaoduijieshibianliangyousuoliaojie,知zhidaohuangjindelishizoushijiuyoukenengduiweilaidejinjiazuochuyuce。通tongguofenxibaokuomeilianchuzhengce、美meiguoguozhaishouyilvhehuilvzaineideguanjianhongguanjingjiyinsu,黄huangjinmoxing便biankeyiyonglaiyucejinjia

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