卢金迎4.1外汇黄金分析期货原油解套策略

　　市shi场chang永yong远yuan在zai多duo空kong相xiang互hu博bo奕yi中zhong进jin行xing，行xing情qing时shi儿er强qiang势shi上shang攻gong，时shi而er急ji速su下xia跌die，你ni无wu法fa控kong制zhi市shi场chang的de走zou向xiang，我wo们men唯wei一yi能neng做zuo的de就jiu是shi保bao住zhu本ben金jin，当dang行xing情qing不bu明ming朗lang时shi可ke以yi将jiang手shou头tou的de头tou寸cun出chu局ju观guan望wang，没mei必bi要yao因yin为wei不bu明ming行xing消xiao耗hao自zi己ji的de精jing力li，行xing情qing是shi上shang还huan是shi下xia？最zui重zhong要yao的de要yao担dan心xin的de是shi你ni将jiang采cai取qu怎zen样yang的de对dui策ce回hui应ying市shi场chang的de变bian化hua，当dang你ni正zheng确que时shi，你ni能neng获huo得de了liao多duo大da的de利li润run，当dang你ni错cuo误wu的de时shi候hou，你ni能neng够gou即ji时shi的de规gui避bi，希xi望wang卢lu金jin迎ying的de文wen章zhang能neng给gei你ni带dai来lai小xiao小xiao的de收shou获huo

　　国guo际ji现xian货huo黄huang金jin周zhou二er(3月yue31日ri)承cheng压ya回hui撤che，美mei市shi盘pan中zhong已yi经jing跌die破po1600美mei元yuan关guan口kou，最zui低di触chu及ji1587.55美mei元yuan/盎ang司si。美mei元yuan走zou强qiang和he中zhong国guo强qiang劲jin的de经济数据提ti振zhen了liao风feng险xian偏pian好hao，但dan疫yi情qing的de扩kuo散san仍reng未wei改gai善shan，甚shen至zhi可ke能neng会hui威wei胁xie到dao黄huang金jin市shi场chang的de交jiao易yi，这zhe令ling黄huang金jin价jia格ge依yi然ran获huo得de稳wen固gu支zhi撑cheng。不bu过guo美mei国guo总zong统tong特te朗lang普pu呼hu吁yu推tui出chu一yi个ge高gao达da2万wan亿yi美mei元yuan的de基ji建jian法fa案an，这zhe令ling投tou资zi情qing绪xu继ji续xu受shou到dao支zhi撑cheng，从cong而er令ling部bu分fen资zi金jin从cong黄huang金jin转zhuan向xiang股gu市shi。美mei元yuan指zhi数shu从cong日ri高gao回hui落luo逾yu百bai点dian，因yin美mei联lian储chu多duo管guan齐qi下xia确que保bao流liu动dong性xing而er下xia滑hua，但dan首shou季ji美mei元yuan大da涨zhang2.55%领ling跑pao。现xian货huo黄huang金jin一yi度du跌die近jin3%，创chuang近jin一yi周zhou新xin低di至zhi1569.6美mei元yuan/盎ang司si，投tou资zi者zhe从cong中zhong国guo积ji极ji的de经jing济ji数shu据ju中zhong得de到dao安an慰wei，整zheng体ti市shi场chang情qing绪xu似si乎hu正zheng在zai改gai善shan；央yang行xing需xu求qiu放fang缓huan的de迹ji象xiang也ye打da压ya了liao价jia格ge。油you价jia创chuang下xia纪ji录lu最zui大da季ji度du跌die幅fu，WTI原yuan油you期qi货huo第di一yi季ji度du下xia跌die逾yu66%，因yin疫yi情qing和he原yuan油you价jia格ge战zhan对dui石shi油you供gong需xu造zao成cheng双shuang重zhong打da击ji。

　　卢lu金jin迎ying个ge人ren观guan点dian：今jin日riADP就jiu业ye数shu据ju将jiang要yao获huo得de公gong布bu，ADP前qian期qi为wei18.3万wan人ren口kou，预yu期qi值zhi是shi-15万wan人ren口kou，也ye就jiu是shi说shuo，目mu前qian市shi场chang对dui于yu就jiu业ye人ren口kou的de增zeng长chang肯ken定ding是shi没mei有you希xi望wang的de，就jiu盼pan望wang着zhuo就jiu业ye人ren数shu是shi否fou会hui超chao出chu市shi场chang的de范fan围wei的de低di迷mi罢ba了liao。这zhe一yi点dian的de话hua，相xiang对dui也ye是shi体ti现xian了liao美mei国guo目mu前qian面mian临lin的de情qing况kuang，同tong样yang的de，这zhe也ye会hui让rang市shi场chang进jin行xing参can考kao来lai预yu判pan非fei农nong的de走zou向xiang，从cong而er左zuo右you黄huang金jin美mei元yuan的de波bo动dong。所suo以yi这zhe一yi点dian的de话hua，市shi场chang方fang面mian还huan是shi会hui有you一yi定ding影ying响xiang的de，一yi旦danADP公gong布bu值zhi低di于yu预yu期qi值zhi，那na么me无wu疑yi美mei经jing济ji的de低di迷mi情qing况kuang已yi经jing超chao出chu了liao市shi场chang的de预yu期qi范fan围wei，从cong而er更geng容rong易yi引yin发fa市shi场chang方fang面mian的de恐kong慌huang，虽sui然ran利li空kong美mei元yuan，但dan是shi参can考kao避bi险xian情qing绪xu，美mei元yuan或huo许xu会hui迎ying来lai进jin一yi步bu的de走zou高gao，从cong而er打da压ya黄huang金jin。对dui此ci，各ge位wei还huan需xu谨jin慎shen对dui待dai。

　　————黄huang金jin走zou势shi分fen析xi

　　技ji术shu面mian分fen析xi；日ri线xian来lai看kan黄huang金jin昨zuo日ri收shou出chu实shi体ti大da阴yin线xian，亚盘开kai盘pan价jia格ge冲chong高gao1625一yi线xian但dan受shou阻zu回hui落luo，随sui后hou价jia格ge一yi直zhi阴yin跌die不bu止zhi，卢lu金jin迎ying在zai价jia格ge破po位wei1620一yi线xian之zhi后hou带dai在zai线xian下xia客ke户hu在zai1617进jin场chang做zuo空kong，欧ou盘pan开kai盘pan价jia格ge逐zhu步bu走zou低di并bing且qie破po位wei1610，卢lu金jin迎ying让rang线xian下xia客ke户hu果guo断duan先xian出chu，但dan价jia格ge并bing没mei有you企qi稳wen直zhi接jie破po位wei1600一yi线xian，最zui低di触chu底di1694附fu近jin，晚wan间jian美mei盘pan开kai盘pan价jia格ge受shou1593一yi线xian止zhi跌die反fan弹dan，并bing且qie再zai次ci企qi稳wen1600上shang方fang，但dan最zui高gao反fan弹dan1613附fu近jin再zai次ci承cheng压ya，最zui终zhong后hou半ban夜ye走zou出chu一yi波bo急ji跌die下xia挫cuo最zui低di触chu及ji1572附fu近jin，最zui终zhong以yi实shi体ti一yi线xian收shou盘pan在zai低di位wei，目mu前qian中zhong国guo积ji极ji的de经jing济ji数shu据ju中zhong得de到dao安an慰wei，整zheng体ti市shi场chang情qing绪xu似si乎hu正zheng在zai改gai善shan；央yang行xing需xu求qiu放fang缓huan的de迹ji象xiang也ye打da压ya了liao黄huang金jin价jia格ge，卢lu金jin迎ying目mu前qian从cong4小xiao时shi来lai看kan价jia格ge已yi经jing直zhi接jie破po位wei中zhong轨gui一yi线xian，而er且qie布bu林lin带dai下xia轨gui也ye是shi逐zhu步bu破po位wei，短duan期qi布bu林lin带dai中zhong轨gui已yi经jing勾gou头tou向xiang下xia，所suo以yi综zong合he分fen析xi操cao作zuo上shang卢lu金jin迎ying建jian议yi反fan弹dan做zuo空kong为wei主zhu，低di多duo为wei辅fu。

　　1，建jian议yi下xia方fang首shou次ci回hui落luo1572-1574不bu破po分fen批pi做zuo多duo一yi次ci，止zhi损sun1568，目mu标biao1590-1595

　　2，建jian议yi上shang方fang首shou次ci反fan弹dan1600-1602不bu破po分fen批pi做zuo空kong一yi次ci，止zhi损sun1606，目mu标biao1585-1580