「黄金」4.9原油还会涨吗？黄金原油行情分析及操作策略布局

尽jin管guan新xin冠guan肺fei炎yan疫yi情qing在zai欧ou洲zhou似si乎hu进jin入ru平ping台tai期qi令ling市shi场chang抱bao有you希xi望wang，但dan投tou资zi者zhe依yi旧jiu惴zhui惴zhui不bu安an。据ju最zui新xin数shu据ju显xian示shi，全quan球qiu累lei计ji确que诊zhen突tu破po143万wan，其qi中zhong美mei国guo累lei计ji确que诊zhen超chao40万wan。隔ge夜ye美股一yi度du创chuang下xia08年nian10月yue来lai的de最zui大da盘pan中zhong涨zhang幅fu，但dan油you价jia崩beng跌die9%带dai来lai拖tuo累lei。近jin期qi油you价jia剧ju烈lie波bo动dong引yin发fa市shi场chang巨ju震zhen，投tou资zi者zhe聚ju焦jiao4月yue9日ri的deOPEC 紧jin急ji会hui议yi。现xian货huo金jin走zou势shi继ji续xu与yu期qi金jin脱tuo钩gou，涨zhang势shi目mu前qian受shou阻zu于yu1700关guan口kou，聚ju焦jiao美mei元yuan走zou势shi。本ben交jiao易yi日ri还huan需xu关guan注zhu美联储会hui议yi纪ji要yao。

黄huang金jin走zou势shi分fen析xi：

现xian货huo黄huang金jin在zai本ben周zhou一yi大da幅fu的de拉la升sheng之zhi后hou，黄huang金jin周zhou二er未wei得de到dao延yan续xu，周zhou二er小xiao幅fu小xiao挫cuo进jin入ru下xia行xing通tong道dao，铭ming.诚cheng认ren为wei主zhu要yao这zhe两liang点dian一yi方fang面mian多duo头tou获huo利li了liao结jie意yi愿yuan上shang升sheng，另ling一yi方fang面mian，昨zuo日ri新xin增zeng确que诊zhen病bing例li释shi放fang出chu疫yi情qing缓huan和he迹ji象xiang。市shi场chang避bi险xian情qing绪xu缓huan和he导dao致zhi金jin价jia小xiao幅fu走zou跌die，但dan围wei绕rao疫yi情qing的de不bu确que定ding因yin素su并bing未wei消xiao失shi，全quan球qiu宽kuan松song政zheng策ce、刺ci激ji政zheng策ce环huan境jing也ye将jiang继ji续xu支zhi撑cheng金jin价jia。同tong时shi昨zuo日ri的de金jin价jia的de振zhen幅fu整zheng体ti缩suo小xiao，上shang方fang触chu及ji1670附fu近jin后hou承cheng压ya最zui低di触chu及ji1640附fu近jin，晚wan间jian持chi续xu正zheng在zai1660-1640呈cheng下xia行xing趋qu势shi，收shou盘pan下xia跌die逾yu0.8%。日ri线xian收shou得de阴yin线xian一yi根gen，今jin日ri早zao间jian开kai盘pan价jia格ge最zui高gao触chu及ji1650附fu近jin随sui后hou低di位wei震zhen荡dang，下xia行xing趋qu势shi增zeng加jia，若ruo破po位wei1640将jiang引yin发fa更geng大da抛pao售shou至zhi1622附fu近jin；

黄huang金jin技ji术shu面mian来lai看kan日ri线xian结jie构gou上shang，行xing情qing目mu前qian处chu于yu1650-1640区qu间jian，给gei短duan线xian操cao作zuo带dai来lai不bu确que定ding，因yin为wei此ci区qu域yu也ye是shi保bao持chi着zhuo偏pian强qiang的de回hui升sheng预yu期qi，但dan是shi不bu排pai除chu进jin一yi步bu回hui落luo修xiu正zheng的de需xu要yao，下xia方fang短duan期qi支zhi撑cheng1640破po位wei可ke能neng将jiang进jin一yi步bu引yin发fa下xia跌die加jia剧ju，若ruo再zai次ci反fan弹dan还huan是shi有you机ji会hui看kan到dao1660附fu近jin。短duan线xian4小xiao时shi走zou势shi来lai看kan价jia格ge在zai连lian续xu收shou上shang下xia长chang影ying线xian后hou出chu现xian大da阴yin线xian，价jia格ge在zai1640的de支zhi撑cheng显xian得de岌ji岌ji可ke危wei，意yi外wai破po位weiMA20均jun线xian1635，将jiang下xia行xing到dao162附fu近jin，当dang前qianMACD即ji将jiang死si叉cha，红hong色se动dong能neng柱zhu殆dai尽jin，KDJ三san线xian向xiang下xia，短duan线xian明ming显xian多duo头tou不bu足zu，日ri内nei先xian关guan注zhu1635-1640回hui踩cai测ce试shi，破po位wei则ze看kan1620附fu近jin，若ruo借jie助zhu反fan弹dan，则ze再zai次ci关guan注zhu1660附fu近jin压ya力li测ce试shi，综zong合he来lai看kan，今jin日ri操cao作zuo思si路lu上shang刘liu.铭ming诚cheng个ge人ren建jian议yi以yi反fan弹dan高gao空kong为wei主zhu，回hui调diao做zuo多duo为wei辅fu，上shang方fang短duan期qi重zhong点dian关guan注zhu1660-1665一yi线xian阻zu力li，下xia方fang短duan期qi重zhong点dian关guan注zhu1635-1632一yi线xian支zhi撑cheng。

原yuan油you走zou势shi分fen析xi：

原yuan油you从cong技ji术shu面mian来lai看kan，OPEC 原yuan定ding于yu周zhou一yi召zhao开kai的de会hui议yi已yi推tui迟chi至zhi周zhou四si，因yin俄e罗luo斯si和he沙sha特te就jiu上shang月yue现xian有you减jian产chan协xie议yi破po裂lie的de分fen歧qi仍reng在zai继ji续xu。昨zuo日ri美mei油you大da幅fu低di开kai，回hui撤che25附fu近jin后hou震zhen荡dang回hui弹dan，上shang方fang回hui补bu至zhi28附fu近jin，目mu前qian行xing情qing又you陷xian入ru偏pian弱ruo震zhen荡dang回hui修xiu趋qu势shi。从cong走zou势shi节jie奏zou表biao现xian来lai看kan，市shi场chang对dui于yu本ben周zhouOPEC 达da成cheng减jian产chan预yu期qi还huan是shi比bi较jiao期qi待dai的de，但dan是shi这zhe种zhong期qi待dai似si乎hu又you存cun在zai极ji大da的de不bu确que定ding性xing风feng险xian，这zhe也ye就jiu使shi得de日ri内nei保bao持chi了liao震zhen荡dang回hui弹dan的de节jie奏zou，但dan却que并bing未wei有you太tai强qiang势shi动dong能neng表biao现xian。技ji术shu结jie构gou上shang，跳tiao空kong缺que口kou基ji本ben被bei回hui补bu，技ji术shu上shang意yi味wei着zhuo行xing情qing大da概gai率lv会hui重zhong归gui震zhen荡dang回hui修xiu路lu线xian，下xia方fang或huo有you可ke能neng回hui到dao26、25附fu近jin震zhen荡dang，然ran目mu前qian市shi场chang对dui于yu减jian产chan预yu期qi的de情qing绪xu化hua导dao致zhi行xing情qing走zou势shi极ji不bu稳wen定ding，所suo以yi稳wen健jian者zhe短duan期qi内nei还huan是shi保bao持chi谨jin慎shen，可ke待dai周zhou四siOPEC 会hui议yi后hou再zai根gen据ju实shi际ji的de消xiao息xi面mian情qing况kuang再zai做zuo策ce略lue调diao整zheng。综zong合he来lai看kan，今jin日ri操cao作zuo思si路lu上shang刘liu铭ming.诚cheng个ge人ren建jian议yi以yi反fan弹dan高gao空kong为wei主zhu，回hui调diao做zuo多duo为wei辅fu，上shang方fang短duan期qi重zhong点dian关guan注zhu27.8-28.5一yi线xian阻zu力li，下xia方fang短duan期qi重zhong点dian关guan注zhu23.5-23.0一yi线xian支zhi撑cheng。

如ru果guo你ni亏kui损sun了liao还huan在zai看kan帖tie子zi，这zhe证zheng明ming了liao一yi点dian，你ni不bu甘gan心xin。你ni不bu甘gan心xin这zhe个ge市shi场chang把ba自zi己ji的de资zi金jin都du套tao走zou了liao。有you老lao师shi的de人ren老lao师shi技ji术shu不bu好hao，没mei老lao师shi的de个ge人ren操cao作zuo完wan全quan凭ping感gan觉jue靠kao运yun气qi，分fen析xi不bu了liao行xing情qing，总zong是shi慢man别bie人ren一yi拍pai，总zong是shi头tou脑nao发fa热re，遇yu事shi就jiu淡dan定ding不bu下xia来lai了liao。你ni的de亏kui损sun有you太tai多duo理li由you了liao，但dan是shi最zui后hou你ni的de结jie果guo就jiu只zhi有you一yi个ge，那na就jiu是shi钱qian没mei了liao。对dui于yu解jie套tao，在zai这zhe里li也ye不bu想xiang讲jiang太tai多duo，毕bi竟jing你ni是shi一yi篇pian一yi篇pian文wen章zhang看kan过guo来lai的de，想xiang必bi你ni也ye大da致zhi了liao解jie了liao一yi些xie基ji本ben解jie套tao方fang式shi，奈nai何he你ni还huan是shi不bu会hui解jie套tao，究jiu其qi原yuan因yin是shi为wei什shi么me呢ne？我wo早zao就jiu说shuo过guo这zhe样yang一yi句ju话hua，解jie套tao我wo们men需xu要yao结jie合he当dang时shi的de行xing情qing，以yi及ji你ni的de套tao单dan点dian位wei与yu资zi金jin结jie合he来lai解jie套tao，不bu是shi你ni一yi言yan两liang语yu可ke以yi说shuo的de清qing的de.