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「黄金」4.14黄金空单莫急 黄金原油分析解套

2020-04-14     李昱山   来源:
文章摘要:黄金价格周一(4月13日)持稳于近一个月高点,因对冠状病毒疫情对经济冲击程度的担忧日益加剧。美市盘中,现货金短线上涨约15美元,上破1700美元/盎司关口。周一,大多数欧洲市场因复活节而休市。

  消xiaoximianjiedu

  

  黄huangjinjiagezhouyi(4月yue13日ri)持chiwenyujinyigeyuegaodian,因yinduiguanzhuangbingduyiqingduijingjichongjichengdudedanyouriyijiaju。美meishipanzhong,现xianhuojinduan线xianshangzhangyue15美meiyuan,上shangpo1700美meiyuan/盎angsiguankou。周zhouyi,大daduoshuouzhoushichangyinfuhuojieerxiushi

  

  欧oupeike+依yiranduiqianzaideshiyouxuqiupiruanbaochijingti,如ruguoyuanyoushichangzhuangkuangmeiyoutishengdehua,欧oupeike+的dejieduanshijianchanjihuajiang使shiqikeyikaolvjinyibujiadajianchanhuoyanchangjianchanxiedingdexuanxiang,有youxuyao,沙shatezhunbeihaozai6月yuefenjinyibuxiaojianchanliang。如ruguoshichangzhuangkuangyaoqiu,并bingqieqitaguojiapeihedehua,沙shatekeyijiangyuanyouchanliangxiaojianzhi850万wantong/日rixiafang。对duiyuoupeike+外waideG20国guojia,阿aqiziyebiaoshi,这zhebufenguojiayichengnuoxiaojian370万wantong/日rideshiyougongying。此ciwai,预yujiweilaishuyuejiangyou2亿yitongdeshiyougoumaibingbeiyongyuchubei,有youzhuyuyouxiaoxiaojianchanliang。欧oupeike+、G20国guojiajianchanyijizhanlueshiyouchubei(SPR)的degoumaikeyiyouxiaojianshaoshiyougongying,预yujijiang使shiquanqiushiyoushichangjianshaogongyingliangyue1950万wantong/日ri。此ciwai,据jushichangxiaoxi,特telangpuduieluosiheshatezaioupeike+协xieyidezuoyongbiaoshiganxie,并bingcheng,欧oupeike+希xiwangjianchan2000万wantong/日ri,而erbushi广guangfanbaodaode1000万wantong/日ri

  

  黄huangjinzoushifenxi

  

  现货黄金chuangjinwuzhouxingaozhi1696.7美meiyuan/盎angsi,受shouyiyu美元指数huiluo,创chuangyizhoubanxindi,美meiguomingniabolisilianchuzhuxikashikaercheng,美meiguojingjikenengsuizhuoyiqingqifuermianlinchangda18个geyuezhouerfushidetingbai。Bloomberg Economics的demeiguoshuai退tuikenengxingmoxingxianshi,美meiguojingjijinrushuai退tuidekenengrujinyijinggaoda100%。同tongshi,日rineifengxianpianhaoqingxuyijiudimi,亚yazhougushifenfenzoudi,有youbixianxuqiudetouzizheyijiuqinglaiyuhuangjin

  

  技jishumianlaikan,日ri线xianMACD和heKDJ金jinchayunxing,均jun线xianduotoupailie,指zhishijinjiarengranjubeiyidingdeshangzhangdongneng,目muqianshangfangchubuzuliguanzhu1700关guankouheqianqigaodian1703.39,这zheshizi2012年nian12月yuelaichujidegaowei,该gaiweizhizulijiaoqiang,若ruotupogaiweizhi,则zexindeshangzhangtongdaojiangbeidakai,上shangfangmubiaokanxiangbulin线xianshanggui1731附fujin;不buguo,由youyumuqianKDJ运yunxingzaichaomaiquyu,若ruojinjiabunengtupo1703附fujinzuliyazhi,则zerengranxuyaojingtijinjiazhendanghuiluodekeneng,下xiafangchubuzhichengzairineididian1676.03附fujin,进jinyibuzhichengzai1670附fujin,该gaiweizhizaishangzhousibeiqiangshigongpo,并binggeidaohuicaiqueren,所suoyiduanqilaikan,该gaiweizhikeshiweimuqiandeduokongfenshuiling;5日rijun线xianzhichengzai1665.89附fujin,4月yue8日rigaodianzhichengzai1657附fujin;综zonghelaikanjianyididuoweizhu,高gaokongweifu

  

  上shangfangzhongdianguanzhuzuli:1711.20;1731.00

  

  下xiafangzhongdianguanzhuzhicheng:1690.00;1676.03;

  

  行xingqingshishibianhua,策celuejingongcankao,实shishijinchuchangdianweijizhongchang线xianbujuzixunmianfeihuoqu

  

  原yuanyouzoushifenxi

  

  技jishumianlaikan,虽suiranOPEC+初chubudachengjianchanxieyi,但danshiyinweiweishengshijiandaozhiyuanyouxuqiuxiajiangfuduchaoguo2000万wantong/日ri。同tongshisuizhuoquanqiuyuanyoukucunjiejinjixian,这zhejiangjinyibuduiyoujiagouchengyali。油youjiamuqianrengranweichizai19.27-30.00区qujianyunxing,日ri线xianMACD金jincha,布bulin线xianguidaokaishishoukou,短duan线xianzoushicunzaijiaodabianshu;上shangfangchubuzulizai5日rijun线xian24.57附fujin,该gaiweizhitongshiyeshirineichujidegaodian,布bulin线xianzhongguizulizai26.4附fujin,进jinyibujiaoqiangzulizai27关guankoufujin,该gaiweizhizaishangzhoubeiduociceshi,若ruoyouxiaotupo,则zeyoujiayoukenengjinyibushitan30关guankou;不buguo,由youyuKDJ死sichayunxing,指zhishishangxingdongnengyiranjiaoruo,下xiafangjixuguanzhu22关guankouzuli,若ruoshishougaiweizhi,则zeyoujiakenengzaicihuicai19.90-20关guankouzhicheng,这zheshiyoujiazuizhongyaoxinliguankou,支zhichengjiaoqiang,同tongshiyoujiazaicihuidaoxiangduidiwei,逢fengdimaipanheOPEC+减jianchanxieyiyeduiyoujiagouchengyidingzhicheng,再zaicihuicairengrankezaigaiweizhibuzhizhong线xianduo;综zonghelaikan,油youjiaduan线xianrengrancunzaiyidinghuidiaoxuqiu,但danshigerenjianyiduan线xiankankongbuzhuikong,耐naixindengdaifandanxinhaobujuzhong线xianduodanjike,所suoyijinricaozuosilushangjianyididuoweizhu,高gaokongweifu

  

  上shangfangzhongdianguanzhuzuli:24.57;26.40;

  

  下xiafangzhongdianguanzhuzhicheng:22.50;22.00;

  

  行xingqingshishibianhua,策celuejingongcankao,实shishijinchuchangdianweijizhongchang线xianbujuzixunyushanmianfeihuoqu

  

  面mianduishichang,实shijishangjiushimianduiziji,改gaizhengquedian,直zhimiancuowu,严yangelvji,不bushuohuangyan,才caishichenggongdegenben。本benrenliyushanjiedushijiejingjitizhi,全quanmianpoxihaineiwaijiaoyipinzhong,重zhongdianbawodiyishijianzhongyaocaijingtouzixinwendejieshuo,引yinlingtouzizhezhengquedaoxiang,投touzishiyigewanzhengtixibaokuotouzilinian,投touzixintai,资zijinguanli,风fengxiankongzhi,投touzicelue,操caozuoshoufayusilu,黄huangjinbaiyin、原yuanyoudeng,每meirixingqingjiedu,敬jingqingguanzhu


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关键词:黄金   原油   解套  
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