「黄金」4.14黄金空单莫急 黄金原油分析解套

　　消xiao息xi面mian解jie读du：

　　黄huang金jin价jia格ge周zhou一yi(4月yue13日ri)持chi稳wen于yu近jin一yi个ge月yue高gao点dian，因yin对dui冠guan状zhuang病bing毒du疫yi情qing对dui经jing济ji冲chong击ji程cheng度du的de担dan忧you日ri益yi加jia剧ju。美mei市shi盘pan中zhong，现xian货huo金jin短duan线xian上shang涨zhang约yue15美mei元yuan，上shang破po1700美mei元yuan/盎ang司si关guan口kou。周zhou一yi，大da多duo数shu欧ou洲zhou市shi场chang因yin复fu活huo节jie而er休xiu市shi。

　　欧ou佩pei克ke+依yi然ran对dui潜qian在zai的de石shi油you需xu求qiu疲pi软ruan保bao持chi警jing惕ti，如ru果guo原yuan油you市shi场chang状zhuang况kuang没mei有you提ti升sheng的de话hua，欧ou佩pei克ke+的de阶jie段duan式shi减jian产chan计ji划hua将jiang使shi其qi可ke以yi考kao虑lv进jin一yi步bu加jia大da减jian产chan或huo延yan长chang减jian产chan协xie定ding的de选xuan项xiang，有you需xu要yao，沙sha特te准zhun备bei好hao在zai6月yue份fen进jin一yi步bu削xiao减jian产chan量liang。如ru果guo市shi场chang状zhuang况kuang要yao求qiu，并bing且qie其qi他ta国guo家jia配pei合he的de话hua，沙sha特te可ke以yi将jiang原yuan油you产chan量liang削xiao减jian至zhi850万wan桶tong/日ri下xia方fang。对dui于yu欧ou佩pei克ke+外wai的deG20国guo家jia，阿a齐qi兹zi也ye表biao示shi，这zhe部bu分fen国guo家jia已yi承cheng诺nuo削xiao减jian370万wan桶tong/日ri的de石shi油you供gong应ying。此ci外wai，预yu计ji未wei来lai数shu月yue将jiang有you2亿yi桶tong的de石shi油you购gou买mai并bing被bei用yong于yu储chu备bei，有you助zhu于yu有you效xiao削xiao减jian产chan量liang。欧ou佩pei克ke+、G20国guo家jia减jian产chan以yi及ji战zhan略lue石shi油you储chu备bei（SPR）的de购gou买mai可ke以yi有you效xiao减jian少shao石shi油you供gong应ying，预yu计ji将jiang使shi全quan球qiu石shi油you市shi场chang减jian少shao供gong应ying量liang约yue1950万wan桶tong/日ri。此ci外wai，据ju市shi场chang消xiao息xi，特te朗lang普pu对dui俄e罗luo斯si和he沙sha特te在zai欧ou佩pei克ke+协xie议yi的de作zuo用yong表biao示shi感gan谢xie，并bing称cheng，欧ou佩pei克ke+希xi望wang减jian产chan2000万wan桶tong/日ri，而er不bu是shi广guang泛fan报bao道dao的de1000万wan桶tong/日ri。

　　黄huang金jin走zou势shi分fen析xi

　　现货黄金创chuang近jin五wu周zhou新xin高gao至zhi1696.7美mei元yuan/盎ang司si，受shou益yi于yu美元指数回hui落luo，创chuang一yi周zhou半ban新xin低di，美mei国guo明ming尼ni阿a波bo利li斯si联lian储chu主zhu席xi卡ka什shi卡ka尔er称cheng，美mei国guo经jing济ji可ke能neng随sui着zhuo疫yi情qing起qi伏fu而er面mian临lin长chang达da18个ge月yue周zhou而er复fu始shi的de停ting摆bai。Bloomberg Economics的de美mei国guo衰shuai退tui可ke能neng性xing模mo型xing显xian示shi，美mei国guo经jing济ji进jin入ru衰shuai退tui的de可ke能neng如ru今jin已yi经jing高gao达da100%。同tong时shi，日ri内nei风feng险xian偏pian好hao情qing绪xu依yi旧jiu低di迷mi，亚ya洲zhou股gu市shi纷fen纷fen走zou低di，有you避bi险xian需xu求qiu的de投tou资zi者zhe依yi旧jiu青qing睐lai于yu黄huang金jin。

　　技ji术shu面mian来lai看kan，日ri线xianMACD和heKDJ金jin叉cha运yun行xing，均jun线xian多duo头tou排pai列lie，指zhi示shi金jin价jia仍reng然ran具ju备bei一yi定ding的de上shang涨zhang动dong能neng，目mu前qian上shang方fang初chu步bu阻zu力li关guan注zhu1700关guan口kou和he前qian期qi高gao点dian1703.39，这zhe是shi自zi2012年nian12月yue来lai触chu及ji的de高gao位wei，该gai位wei置zhi阻zu力li较jiao强qiang，若ruo突tu破po该gai位wei置zhi，则ze新xin的de上shang涨zhang通tong道dao将jiang被bei打da开kai，上shang方fang目mu标biao看kan向xiang布bu林lin线xian上shang轨gui1731附fu近jin；不bu过guo，由you于yu目mu前qianKDJ运yun行xing在zai超chao买mai区qu域yu，若ruo金jin价jia不bu能neng突tu破po1703附fu近jin阻zu力li压ya制zhi，则ze仍reng然ran需xu要yao警jing惕ti金jin价jia震zhen荡dang回hui落luo的de可ke能neng，下xia方fang初chu步bu支zhi撑cheng在zai日ri内nei低di点dian1676.03附fu近jin，进jin一yi步bu支zhi撑cheng在zai1670附fu近jin，该gai位wei置zhi在zai上shang周zhou四si被bei强qiang势shi攻gong破po，并bing给gei到dao回hui踩cai确que认ren，所suo以yi短duan期qi来lai看kan，该gai位wei置zhi可ke视shi为wei目mu前qian的de多duo空kong分fen水shui岭ling；5日ri均jun线xian支zhi撑cheng在zai1665.89附fu近jin，4月yue8日ri高gao点dian支zhi撑cheng在zai1657附fu近jin；综zong合he来lai看kan建jian议yi低di多duo为wei主zhu，高gao空kong为wei辅fu；

　　上shang方fang重zhong点dian关guan注zhu阻zu力li:1711.20；1731.00

　　下xia方fang重zhong点dian关guan注zhu支zhi撑cheng:1690.00；1676.03；

　　行xing情qing实shi时shi变bian化hua，策ce略lue仅jin供gong参can考kao，实shi时shi进jin出chu场chang点dian位wei及ji中zhong长chang线xian布bu局ju咨zi询xun免mian费fei获huo取qu！

　　原yuan油you走zou势shi分fen析xi

　　技ji术shu面mian来lai看kan，虽sui然ranOPEC+初chu步bu达da成cheng减jian产chan协xie议yi，但dan是shi因yin为wei卫wei生sheng事shi件jian导dao致zhi原yuan油you需xu求qiu下xia降jiang幅fu度du超chao过guo2000万wan桶tong/日ri。同tong时shi随sui着zhuo全quan球qiu原yuan油you库ku存cun接jie近jin极ji限xian，这zhe将jiang进jin一yi步bu对dui油you价jia构gou成cheng压ya力li。油you价jia目mu前qian仍reng然ran维wei持chi在zai19.27-30.00区qu间jian运yun行xing，日ri线xianMACD金jin叉cha，布bu林lin线xian轨gui道dao开kai始shi收shou口kou，短duan线xian走zou势shi存cun在zai较jiao大da变bian数shu；上shang方fang初chu步bu阻zu力li在zai5日ri均jun线xian24.57附fu近jin，该gai位wei置zhi同tong时shi也ye是shi日ri内nei触chu及ji的de高gao点dian，布bu林lin线xian中zhong轨gui阻zu力li在zai26.4附fu近jin，进jin一yi步bu较jiao强qiang阻zu力li在zai27关guan口kou附fu近jin，该gai位wei置zhi在zai上shang周zhou被bei多duo次ci测ce试shi，若ruo有you效xiao突tu破po，则ze油you价jia有you可ke能neng进jin一yi步bu试shi探tan30关guan口kou；不bu过guo，由you于yuKDJ死si叉cha运yun行xing，指zhi示shi上shang行xing动dong能neng依yi然ran较jiao弱ruo，下xia方fang继ji续xu关guan注zhu22关guan口kou阻zu力li，若ruo失shi守shou该gai位wei置zhi，则ze油you价jia可ke能neng再zai次ci回hui踩cai19.90-20关guan口kou支zhi撑cheng，这zhe是shi油you价jia最zui重zhong要yao心xin理li关guan口kou，支zhi撑cheng较jiao强qiang，同tong时shi油you价jia再zai次ci回hui到dao相xiang对dui低di位wei，逢feng低di买mai盘pan和heOPEC+减jian产chan协xie议yi也ye对dui油you价jia构gou成cheng一yi定ding支zhi撑cheng，再zai次ci回hui踩cai仍reng然ran可ke在zai该gai位wei置zhi布bu置zhi中zhong线xian多duo；综zong合he来lai看kan，油you价jia短duan线xian仍reng然ran存cun在zai一yi定ding回hui调diao需xu求qiu，但dan是shi个ge人ren建jian议yi短duan线xian看kan空kong不bu追zhui空kong，耐nai心xin等deng待dai反fan弹dan信xin号hao布bu局ju中zhong线xian多duo单dan即ji可ke，所suo以yi今jin日ri操cao作zuo思si路lu上shang建jian议yi低di多duo为wei主zhu，高gao空kong为wei辅fu；

　　上shang方fang重zhong点dian关guan注zhu阻zu力li:24.57；26.40；

　　下xia方fang重zhong点dian关guan注zhu支zhi撑cheng:22.50；22.00；

　　行xing情qing实shi时shi变bian化hua，策ce略lue仅jin供gong参can考kao，实shi时shi进jin出chu场chang点dian位wei及ji中zhong长chang线xian布bu局ju咨zi询xun昱yu山shan免mian费fei获huo取qu！

　　面mian对dui市shi场chang，实shi际ji上shang就jiu是shi面mian对dui自zi己ji，改gai正zheng缺que点dian，直zhi面mian错cuo误wu，严yan格ge律lv己ji，不bu说shuo谎huang言yan，才cai是shi成cheng功gong的de根gen本ben。本ben人ren李li昱yu山shan解jie读du世shi界jie经jing济ji体ti制zhi，全quan面mian剖po析xi海hai内nei外wai交jiao易yi品pin种zhong，重zhong点dian把ba握wo第di一yi时shi间jian重zhong要yao财cai经jing投tou资zi新xin闻wen的de解jie说shuo，引yin领ling投tou资zi者zhe正zheng确que导dao向xiang，投tou资zi是shi一yi个ge完wan整zheng体ti系xi包bao括kuo投tou资zi理li念nian，投tou资zi心xin态tai，资zi金jin管guan理li，风feng险xian控kong制zhi，投tou资zi策ce略lue，操cao作zuo手shou法fa与yu思si路lu，黄huang金jin白bai银yin、原yuan油you等deng，每mei日ri行xing情qing解jie读du，敬jing请qing关guan注zhu！