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千三争夺越演越烈 黄金面临方向抉择

2019-03-16     牛牛财经   来源:汇通网
文章摘要:  本周黄金总体维持在1290至1312区间内震荡,并于最后一个交易日重新收至1300美元上方。   尽管本周美元创出了半年来最差单周表现,但是黄金的走势却没有出现明显的回升,总体表现疲软,围绕着千三关口反复争夺,因英国脱欧局势的不确定性主导了市场….

  本benzhouhuangjinzongtiweichizai1290至zhi1312区qujianneizhendang,并bingyuzuihouyigejiaoyirizhongxinshouzhi1300美元shangfang

  尽jinguanbenzhoumeiyuanchuangchuliaobannianlaizuichadanzhoubiaoxian,但danshihuangjindezoushiquemeiyouchuxianmingxiandehuisheng,总zongtibiaoxianpiruan,围weiraozhuoqiansanguankoufanfuzhengduo,因yin英国脱欧jushidebuquedingxingzhudaoliaoshichangdebixianqingxu,尤youqishiyingguoyihuipaichuliaowu协议脱欧xuanxianghou,黄huangjinyiduzhongcuojin20美meiyuan

  此ciwai,尽jinguanmeiguoshujupiruan,但danshimeiguogushibenzhoubiaoxianliangyan,也yeyidingchengdushangxiyinliaozijindeliuru,降jiangdiliaohuangjindexiyinli。同tongshimaoyihediyuanjushidebianhuayeduihuangjinchanshengliaojianjieyingxiang,这zhejiangzaizhihoudexingqingzhongyousuofanying,市shichangyinggaibaochiguanzhu

  不buguosuizhuoyingguotuoouzanshibimianliaowuxieyituooudefengxian,市shichangdejiaodianjiangzaicizhuanxiangmeiguo经济数据yiji美联储dedongxiangshanglai,下xiazhou3月yue21日rimeilianchujianggongbulilvjueyi,且qie美联储主席鲍威尔jiangfabiaojianghua,市shichangjiangcongzhongjinyibuxunzhaozantingjiaxide线xiansuo

  同tongshisuizhuomeiguozongtongtelangpushoucixing使shifoujuequan,否foujueliaoguohuizhongzhiqiguojiajinjizhuangtaidejueyi,可kenenghuijiajumeiguoneibudezhengzhifenqi,或huoduimeiguogushihemeiyuanchanshengchixudefumianyingxiang,甚shenzhibupaichumeiguozhengfuzai10月yueyouzaiciguanmendekeneng,这zhejiangduihuangjingouchengqianzailihao

  本benzhouyingguotuoouzhudaofengxianqingxu,在zaixiayibujihualuodiqianshichanghuoweichiguanwang

  北beijingshijianzhousan(3月yue13日ri)凌lingchen,英yingguoshouxiangteleisha·梅meide脱欧协议zaicibeiyihuijujue,令lingshichangdanyouyingguozuizhonghuoxuanzewuxieyituoou

  对duiyuteleisha·梅meidetuoouxieyi,议yihuidetoupiaojieguoshi391票piaofandui,242票piaozanchengsuiranzhecidepiaoshuchajubi1月yuefenshide230票piaoyaoxiao,但danduiyuteleishaxinkuchoubeiliangniandetuoounulilaishuoyiranshichenzhongdaji

  受shouciyingxiang,黄huangjinzaimeiguoCPIshujubujiatuidongzougaodejichushangjinyibuhuisheng,并bingzaizhousiyingguoyihuijiuwuxieyituooutoupiaoqianchixuzougao,并bingyiduzhanshang1310美meiyuanshangfang

  但dansuizhuozhousiyingguoyihuifengshawuxieyituoou,英yingguotuooubuquedingxingjiangdi,黄huangjinzigaodianchuxianliaojin20美meiyuandediefu。因yinwuxieyituooushituoouguochengzhongzuidadefengxianshijian,随suizhuozheyishijiandedeyipaichu,市shichangdebixianqingxumingxianxiajiang,导daozhizijinconghuangjinzhongliuchu

  短duanshijianeryan,英yingguotuoouduiyuhuangjindeyingxiangjianghuimingxianxiajiang

  这zhecong英镑dezoushikeyikanchu,此ciqianyinwuxieyituooufengxianshangcun,英yingbangliangcichuxianyu300点diandebodong,不buguosuizhuowuxieyituoouzaoyihuifengsha,英yingbangdezoushiyijingmingxianchiwen,暗anshizaiyoujinyibudexiaoxiqian,市shichangjiangweichiguanwangdelichang

  近jinqishichangjiangguanzhuxiazhouyingguoyihuishifouhuipizhunteleishadetuoouxieyi,此ciqianfaguozongtongbangongshiyiweiguanyuanbiaoshi,如ruguoyingguoyihuipizhunliaogaixieyi,欧oumeng27国guojiangtongyijiangdi50条tiao退tuioutanpanqi“技jishushangduanzanyanchang”。但danruguoyingguoyihuixiazhoujujuedachengxieyi,且qiemeiyoumingquedetidaifanganchuxian,就jiuhuichuxian“不budachengxieyi”的dejumian,因yinweizhiyouzaiyingguotichumingquedetidaifangan(如rugongtouhuoxuanju)时shi,延yanchang《里lisibentiaoyue》第di50条tiaodeqixiancaishikeyijieshoude

  汇huitongwangzhichu,考kaolvdaociqianteleishadefanganzaiyihuizaoyudezhongzhongshibai,下xiazhouduiyuyihuitongguodeyuqirengweichizaijiaodideshuiping,因yinciyingguotuoourengcunzaijiaodadefengxian。但danshikaolvdaoyihuifengshaliaowuxieyituooudexuanxiang,即ji使shiweinengtongguo,英yingguorenghuixuanzechangqiyanchiheercigongtou

  从congmuqianqingkuanglaikan,长changqiyanchidekenengxingzuigao,如ruguodachengchangqiyanchi,市shichangduiyuyingguotuooubuquedingxingdedanyouqingxujianghuizanhuan。但danshiruguoyiwailianggexuanxiangduzaodaopaichu,那namewuxieyituooufengxianjianghuidouzeng,进jinerduihuangjinchanshengzhijieyingxiang

  美meiguotongzhangshujupiruanjiangdijiaxiyuqi,关guanzhuxiazhoumeilianchulilvjueyi

  本benzhoumeiguojingjishujubiaoxianbujia,这zhe使shidemeiyuanchuxianliaodafudehuiluo,在zaiyidingchengdushangduihuangjingouchengzhicheng

  尤youqishizaitongzhangshujufangmian

  周zhouermeiguo2月yueweijidiaoCPI年nianlvgongbuzhiwei1.5%,不bujiqianzhijiyuqide1.6%;而er2月yueweijidiaohexinCPI年nianlvwei2.1%,也yechayuyuqijiqianzhide2.2%。因yinmeilianchujinqiduocitidaotongzhangpiruan,短duanshijianduijiaxichiyouguanwangdelichang,而erCPI数shujupiruanwuyijiajuliaoshichangduiyumeilianchuzantingjiaxideyuqi

  尽jinguanzhousangongbudemeiguozhizaodezhuyaozibenhuowuxindingdanzai1月yuefenchuxian6个geyuelaizuidazengfu,出chuhuoliangzengjia,表biaomingjinniannianchuqiyezaishebeifangmiandezhichuqiangjin。此ciwaiyingjianshujuyebiaoxianlianghao,但danshiPPIshujuluexunyuyuqi

  数shujugongbuhou,美meiyuanyanxushangyijiaoyiridedieshi

  对duicifenxirenshibiaoshi,CPI数shujuxianshi,通tongzhangyoukenengwufaweichizaimeilianchu2%的demubiaofujin。在zaiquanqiujingjizengchangfanghuandefengxianbuduanshangshengzhiji,这zheyishitaifazhankenengjiadazhengcezhidingzhetuichijinyibujiaxidejilv

  而er2月yuemeiguoshengchanzhewujiazhishu(PPI)几jihumeiyoushangzhang,并bingchuangxiayinianbanduolaidezuixiaotongbizhangfu。这zheshitongzhangwenhezengchangdezuixinjixiang,与yubenzhouermeiguo2月yueweijidiaoCPI年nianlvbujiaxiangwenhe,支zhichimeilianchujinnianduijinyibujiaxideguanwangtaidu

  随suizhuojingjizengchanglvbugao,低diyumubiaodetongzhangchixuranglilvbaochizailishidiwei。这zhehui使shidemeilianchugengnanyiduikangjingjishuai退tui,因yinweijiangxikongjiangengxiaoliao,此ciqianboshidunlianchudeyifenbaogaoxianshi,如ruguomeilianchuxiangyaotongguojiangxidefangshilaiyingduijinrongfengxian,那namezaicizhiqianmeilianchuxuyaojiaxizhi5%上shangfang。因yinciyouxiandejiangxikongjianyijichixudimidetongzhang,使shidemeiguo“金jinfanvlang”经jingjizhengmianlinzhuoshuai退tuidefengxian

  因yincisuizhuoshichangdiaodiliao美联储加息deyuqi,将jiangduihuangjingouchengzhicheng

  3月yue21日rimeilianchujianggongbulilvjueyi。PIMCO预yuce,美meilianchujiangzaixiazhouhuiyishangzaicianshijiangnaixinduidaijiaxijuedingdedasuan,且qiemeilianchuzuizaoxiazhou,最zuiwan6月yue,可kenengxuanbutingzhisuojianzichanfuzhaibiao,市shichangxumiqieguanzhu

  不buguofenxirenshibiaoshi,美meiguojiuyeshujurengshifenqiangjin,这zhekenenghuixianzhimeiyuandediefu,同tongshimeilianchuyeduociqiangdiaomeiguojiuyeshichangdeqiangjin

  尽jinguanshangzhoufeinongjiuyeshujubujia,但danshixinzishujuquechuangchuliaoduonianlaidezuijiashuiping,薪xinziyalijianghuituidongtongzhangdeshangsheng。此ciwaiciqianjiuyeshujubujiakenengshoudaoliaozhengfuguanmenheelietianqidefumianyingxiang,因yinercunzaizhuopiancha,从congbenzhouwu(3月yue15日ri)公gongbudemeiguo1月yueJOLTs职zhiweikongqueshujulaikan,仍renghaoyuyuqi,好haoyuqianzhi,因yincimeiguojiuyeshichangrengshifenqiangjin,这zhejiangduimeiyuangouchengzhicheng,限xianzhihuangjindezhangfu

  美meiguogushibenzhoubiaoxianbusuxianzhijinjiazhangfu

  本benzhouxianzhijinjiazhangfudelingyidayinsushimeiguogushibiaoxianlianghao

  本benzhoumeiguogushitiaokonggaokaibingzhanshangliao200日rijun线xianshangfang,短duanshijianshangxingzoushimingxian。同tongshibenzhouwugejiaoyirineiyousirishouyang,并bingshuaxinliaoyuwugeyuegaodian

  值zhidezhuyideshiji使shiyinboyinfeijishijianfajiao美股zhousijinxiaofuxiadie。因yinhuaerjiezhongshiduikejigujiaoyidezhongai,美meiguokejigubenzhouzhongduogushizuizhuanqianjiaoyideguiguan,“FANG”四siguzaicifengguangwuxian

  从congzhuizongshichangfengxianqingxudekonghuangzhishulaikan,该gaizhishubenzhoubingweishoudaoshichangfengxianyinsudeyingxiang,仍rengchuyushuyuedidianfujin,暗anshishichangduiyugushidepianhaohuisheng

  对duicimogendatongzhichu,股gupiaocangweirengranjiaodi,许xuduotouzizhezaisijidujianggupiaopaoshouyihou,处chuyuguanwangzhuangtai

  这zheyiweizhuoruguoguojimaoyijushijinyibugaiguan,可kenenghuituidonggengduodezijinliurugushi,因yinershiyahuangjin

  不buguoshichangrenshijinggaocheng,美meiguojingjishujuchayuyuqi,如ruguozhezhongqingkuangdeyichixu,可kenenghuizuizhongduimeiguogushigouchenglikong

  法faguobaliyinxingcelueshibiaoshi,只zhiyouqiyeyinglizaijinnianxiabannianchuxianyidingfandanjixiang,才cainengzhengmingguzhikuaisuhuishengdehelixing。这zheyiweizhuoruguomeiguojingjishujuchixubujia,并bingzuizhongduiqiyeyinglizaochengchongji,那namemeigukenenghuichuxiandafuhuiluo,这zhejiangdaozhibixianzijindaliangliuruhuangjin

  因yincijinqishichangrengxumiqieguanzhumeiguojingjishujudebianhua

  特telangpuqianshufoujuejieshuguojiajinjizhuangtaidejueyi,美meiguozhengzhineibufenqijiaju

  周zhouliu(3月yue16日ri)凌lingchenmeiguozongtongtelangpuqianshufoujueguohuiyouguanjieshuguojiajinjizhuangtaidejueyi

  美meiguoguohuicanyiyuan14日ritongguoyixiangjueyi,叫jiaotingzongtongtelangpuciqianxuanbudemeiguonanbubianjingjinru“国guojiajinjizhuangtai”;特telangpusuihoubiaoshijiangfoujuegaijueyi

  当dangtian,参canyiyuanyi59票piaozancheng、41票piaofanduidejieguotongguozhexiangjueyi,12名minggonghedangyiyuanyuquantiminzhudangyiyuantouliaozanchengpiao;这zhexiangjueyi2月yue26日rizaimeiguoguohuizhongyiyuanyi245票piaozancheng、182票piaofanduidejieguohuodetongguo

  参canyiyuanbiaojuetongguohou,这zhexiangjueyijiangtijiaozongtongqianshu;特telangpusuihouzaishejiaomeitishangshuo,他ta“期qidaizhuo”否foujuezhexiangjueyi

  美meiguoguohuizhongyiyuanyichang、民minzhudangrenpeiluo西xisuihouzaishejiaomeitishangfabiaoshengmingshuo,为weituifantelangpudefoujueling,众zhongyiyuanjiangyu3月yue26日rijuxingtoupiao

  不buguoyaoxiangtuifanzongtongfoujueling,参canzhongliangyuanjunxuzhishaosanfenzhierpiaoshuzhongxintongguojueyian,才cainengbohuizongtongdefoujue。目muqiankanlaikenengxingbuda

  对duicifenxirenshirenwei,特telangpufoujueguohuijueyijiangjinyibujiajubaigongyuguohuizhijiandeduili。此ciqianyinbaigongyuguohuiminzhudangzaiyusuananbokuanzaoqiangwentishangjianruiduili,约yuesifenzhiyimeiguolianbangzhengfujigouquniandizhijinnian1月yuebeipoguanmen35天tian,创chuangmeiguolishishangzhengfu“停tingbai”时shijianzuichangjilu

  因yincisuizhuomeiguozhengzhineibufenqijiaju,美meiguozhengfujiangzaicimianlinguantingdefengxian,这zhekenenghuiduimeiyuanhemeiguogushichanshengfumianyingxiang

  技jishufenxi

  日ri线xianlaikan,黄huangjinzai1346美meiyuanchuxiandafuhuiluohoudiepoliaoxiafangdeshangshengqushi线xian,短duanshijianshangxingzoushiyousuojianhuan

  目muqianhuangjinshangfangzuizhijiedeyalishi30日rijun线xian,随suizhuojinqi黄金走势piruan,该gaijun线xianyijingchuxianxiaxingdejixiang,因yincihuangjinruguoshizhongchengyayuzheyi线xianxiafangliaohouqirengyoujinyibuzouruodekeneng

  MACD目muqianzaicijiejinlingzhoufujinanshihuangjinjinqizhengzaixuanzefangxiang,同tongshiRSI处chuyu50附fujin,总zongtiyepianzhongxing

  如ruguojinqihuangjinxiaxing,那namexiafangzuizhijiedezhichengshi1289美meiyuanfujin,跌diepozhegeweizhijiangceshi1271美meiyuanfujin(100日rijun线xian),在zaicizhiqian1280美meiyuanyeshiyigejiaoqiangdezhicheng

  如ruguojinjiashangxing,那namezuizhijiedeyalishi30日rijun线xianyu1310.31美meiyuan,任renheshihouzhanshangzhegedianweijiangyoukenengceshi1326至zhi1330关guanjianyaliqujian

(文wenzhanglaiyuan:汇huitongwang

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